'Increasingly, it is being recognised that land acquisition often equates to de facto water acquisition and FDI is driven as much or even more by the need for water to produce food than by the need for land ’
- (Bossio et al. 2012, 224)
In the past decade, foreign land acquisitions in Africa have
considerably increased – the resource of water being a strong driver in the
rise of investments (Bossio et al. 2012). Four broad motivators can be
identified that drove this development: The food crisis of 2008, agricultural
investment being perceived as ‘safe’ in times of financial instability, limited
domestic resources faced by countries such as China, India, Saudi Arabia and
South Korea as well as the increasing demand for biofuels (Bossio et al. 2012,
224).
In the following we will look at the situation in Ethiopia, a country in
which FDI has acquired up to 3.6 million ha (according to estimations) (Mousseau and Sosnoff 2011). Investments
from the EU, India and Israel have focused on the horticultural sector from
2000-2005, sharply growing in rice, cotton and biofuels production from 2006
onwards (Bues 2011). The perception that Ethiopia is a country with abundant
and underutilised water resources - and therefore in need of FDI to realise its
potential - has made investment attractive for foreigners.
It is important to mention that foreign investors
cannot buy, bot only lease land in Ethiopia - land rents being among the
cheapest in the world: investors pay 1 – 40 USD per year for 1 ha of land. Most
land leases are acquired for irrigable land, and in principle there are
regulations and legislations in place to ensure sustainable use and to avoid
‘water grabbing’, saying that domestic users have priority over water use.
However in reality, the implementation of these regulations is very weak (Bossio
et al. 2012, 231 -232).
The leased land can be irrigated in two different ways – either growing
one rain-fed crop per year during the rainy season (Scenario 1) or growing one
irrigated crop during the off-season in addition to the rain fed crop (Scenario
2), agricultural activities ranging from crop production, oil seeds, vegetables
and fruits, forestry, special seeds, livestock and animal feed production, to
horticulture and cotton production (Bossio et al. 2012, 228). Depending on
which scenario occurs on these leased lands, the impact on water consumption
will differ.
In an analysis provided by
Bossio et al. (2012) the additional consumptive water use by FDI licenses in
Ethiopia (in 7 different regions) was estimated using the Crop Water
Requirement (CWR).
The results show the additional amount of water lost in
future agricultural intensification scenarios. First, a considerable difference
between scenario 1 and 2 can be observed, and secondly a significant increase
in evapotranspiration is predicted in all 7 cases (Bossio et al. 2012, 233).
Even though the analysis provided is limited in accuracy and the potential
impacts of these FDI activities on water are subject to uncertainty, one can
conclude that a ‘non trivial proportion of the country’s water
resources will be effectively utilised by foreign entities’ (Bossio et al. 2012,
223).
References:
Bues, A. 2011. Agricultural foreign
direct investment and water rights: An institutional analysis from Ethiopia.
Conference paper. International Conference on Global Land Grabbing, 6-8 April,
2011, Institute of Development Studies, University of Sussex.
Bossio, D.; Erkossa, T.; Dile, Y.;
McCartney, M.; Killiches, F.
and Hoff, H. 2012. Water implications of foreign
direct
investment in Ethiopia’s agricultural sector. Water Alternatives 5(2):
223-242
Mousseau, F. and Sosnoff, G. 2011. Understanding
land investment deals in Africa. Country Report: Ethiopia. CA, US: Oakland
Institute.
There is good detail based on a critical literature and you are following well a clear thread of argument. Keep it up!
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